Monday 19 May 2014

Fingers Crossed for Next Pick

With the last three selections paying off for us; we are just one selection away from banking a profit.

If you read some the earlier posts you would know that in the first round we had three winners and withdrew our original stake (Well this was after messing up the first couple of tries LOL).

But, now that our stake is out; we were looking for 4 consecutive winners in round two. If we can get the fourth selection right we will be on track to withdraw a profit.

I know that it's been a while since that last win; but I just wanted to try and get a selection I thought will be safe. Yes, I know that there is no sure thing in a gamble, but none the less I am trying to play it safe at this point.

The fixture that I am looking at is Dundalk vs Drogheda Utd.

The odds are slightly lower than the 1.30 that I should be looking for, but at 1.20 and the fact that we will still able to bank a profit I think its a fair bet.
Dundalk is 2nd on their league table while their rivals are at 7th and only managed 1 win in their last five games.
The either team to win double chance will give us the insurance of the away team winning and causing the upset (and although I am leaning toward a home win; some of our earlier selections saw the upset in our favour).

With the odds of 1.20 and we now have 11.73 bucks riding on this wager; if it wins we will have a return of 14.08 bucks.

If we do pull this one off we will be able to with draw our the stake we started round two with; this being 5.14 bucks. This will then mean that if the wager  is successful we will have banked a profit of 5.14 bucks.

Tuesday 13 May 2014

Onto Number 6

I was going to look at the fixtures for the weekend for bet 6, but while looking at what games were available tonight; I looked at the fixture Citadella vs Palermo.

Although it's an away game for Palermo, I think they are a fairly strong team. The double chance odds are also quite generous at 1.35. Palermo also sits at the top of the league table with 79 points. Empoli being their next nearest rival with 65 points.

Citadella have been playing quite well of recent. As such I thought that the either team to win double chance is offering a bit of value. Citadella have won their last four league games. They have 45 points on the table and are just out of the relegation zone. With just need one more win to stay in the Series B league.

I am quite hopeful that the either team to win double chance which I have bet on will bring home bet 6 for me.

Monday 12 May 2014

Number 5 Arrived

Well now that has been a real good start to our second leg.

We went for the double chance either team to win; and a good choice it was. The bet turned out a winner.
Although, I was leaning toward Eupen to win while Leuven was our a kind of insurance that actually paid off.

I have not made any selections over this past weekend. I will be giving this week a break.

With respect to where we stand; we had two winners already in second leg. We just need to get 2 more winners and if we pull that off we could bank a profit.

Not forgetting that even if we don't make it through leg two; we have already taken out our original stake in the first leg. So whatever happens from here we can rest assured we will not be out of pocket.

I will be looking to complete leg to shortly. But, Like I said before, I don't want to rush the selections.

Until Later.

Thursday 8 May 2014

Fourth One Through for us

After making our first withdrawal we placed our fourth bet. This one also arrived for us and is now a start to our profit run.

Remember in the first set at every restart we have to accpomplish 3 winners at minimum odds of 1.3. Although, in this round for the first set we had 2 bets at 1.30 and 1 bet at 1.20. This still gave us our 5 bucks withdrawal and left us with 5.14 profit to rollover onto bet 4 without us being out of pocket.

Now that bet 4 has arrived; it is the start of the second set and requires 4 consecutive wins. If we can get through the four consecutive bets required in the second set; we will then be able to withdraw a profit.

The unfortunate thing here is that we will take slightly longer to achieve our 10,000 bucks. But; we can be happy that we will be able to bank some profits along the way. Should we encounter a loss along the way, we can safely say that by banking our initial stake and profits along the way; we will have not been at a total loss.

But, with that being said; we now need to concentrate on our next selection. This would be bet 5 and forms part of set two. This means that bet 5 is the 2nd bet of set two.

I have decided to go for the play off fixture Eupen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Although I beleive that Eupen should win; I will be playing the double chance either team to win.

Eupen played their 1st playoff  match in an away game and got the win. They won 2-3 and is a team that is scoring goals.
On the other hand their opposition tonight played on their home ground and had a nil draw. I would think that Leuven struggled scoring on their home ground may also find scoring against Eupen a bit of a struggle.

Since we are going for the double chance either team to win, I think we have the cushion of the oppostition to also cause the upset. I have secured our minimum required odds of 1.30.

Wednesday 7 May 2014

First Withdrawal - No Out of Pocket

We can really be happy now. We have managed to get the third leg in our restart.
I know I was deliberating taking the straight win but eventually decided to play safe on the double chance yet the straight win was a winner after all.

But, after everything what matters is that we won!

This means that we get the first withdrawal. Which in turn means there is no out of pocket at this stage.
All we need to do now is try and get through the next for bets and we will be in a profit. Well we would be in a profit but not taking our 15 bucks lost previously.

But, someone once told me never try to gamble and look to be recovering losses. Doing this eventually leeds you to more losses; so we just deal with things as a fresh start here.

Now after taking out our stake of five bucks out; we are left with 5.14 bucks which we will now be rolling over for 4 consecutive bets.

Tonight we start this stage being bet 4 with the fixture Motherwell vs Inverness.

Motherwell is third on their table. They will be trying to scoop the three points here in order to secure a place for the UEFA games.

The odds for either team to win on the double chance has the odds @ 1.30. I will be looking at playing this bet and will be getting the cover should Inverness upset.

Lets cross our fingers here and hope that bets 4 which is the start towards profits can arrive for us.

Tuesday 6 May 2014

Onto Our Third Selection



We did not get a play any selections yesterday. As already explained in my post yesterday I was tied up and did not want to just make a rushed joice just for the sake of betting.

After looking at the fixtures today, I have decided I will play the fixture Napoli vs Cagliari.

Napoli is fairly short at 1.45 and look a very good bet to me here. They are quite strong at home. Also, Napoli has been in some good form having recently beaten the table leaders a few matches ago.

Now this leaves me with the difficult thought of whether I go for the straight win or do I play the either team to win double chance?

We have started with 5 bucks on the first bet with a return of 6.50 bucks.
We then rolled over entire stake and winnings for a return of 8.45 bucks.

Both bets were at odds of 1.30.

Now should I go for the straight win which seems a good option, I will be getting better odds of 1.45 more than the needed or wanted 1.30.

On the other hand, If I go for the double chance either team to win, the odds are much shorter at 1.20. These odds are even shorter than the 1.30 that we wanted to be playing.

After much deliberation over this situation, I decided that I will go for the complete rollover of 8.45 bucks on the short odds of 1.20 for the double chance either team to win.

I figure we are getting a double chance and if we pull this one off our return wil be 10.14 bucks.

We can easily take out our 5 bucks and then rollover the winnings of 5.14 buck to start bet 4 if bet 3 wins for us.
This will ensure that we have pulled out our stake. We can then play bets 4 to 7 without out of pocket money andthat we can pull those four bets off.

Monday 5 May 2014

Second one Home - No Pic Today

We managed gettin our second bet home with a win.

It was the away team that got the 1-0 win. Outsiders yet eager to close the gap between themselves and the 2nd placed team Club Brugge who were their opponents, Anderlecht secured the three points. This see's both teams now sharing equal points in the Belgium Super League.

I was quite busy with my family today and I did not get time to properly look at today's fixtures. As such I did make any selections.

I didn't want to make rushed selection today. Especially as a win on the 3rd selection will ensure we can withdraw our innitial restart stake of 5 bucks.

If we do pull of the 3rd win and withdraw the 5 bucks, it will also mean that all the winnings we rollover for the next four bets will be no out of pocket money or we could say a free bet.

Lets not forget that if we pull off those next four bets after bet 3, it be putting us into a positive and will ensure that we start recovering earlier losses.

I have mentioned in earlier posts that we are coming towards the end of the football season. Perhaps some of you would like to wait for the start of the new seasonto start out the system I was dicsussing in my earlier posts.

But, if you like me, just take your time, make your well thought through selection/s and give this a go.

Until, later.